Value Investing

We live in the era of technology. Whether you work from home or corporate America, you rely on modern technology to allow you interact with clients, create business plans and run day-to-day operations. It seems safe to say that the future growth of any industry is dependent upon growth in technology itself.#-ad_banner-#​ It’s been said that many real-life scientific breakthroughs stem from the inspiration of science fiction. For instance, our modern society looks an awful lot like the Hill Valley of 2015 as depicted in “Back to the Future 2.” While the ubiquity of flat-panel televisions, the return… Read More

We live in the era of technology. Whether you work from home or corporate America, you rely on modern technology to allow you interact with clients, create business plans and run day-to-day operations. It seems safe to say that the future growth of any industry is dependent upon growth in technology itself.#-ad_banner-#​ It’s been said that many real-life scientific breakthroughs stem from the inspiration of science fiction. For instance, our modern society looks an awful lot like the Hill Valley of 2015 as depicted in “Back to the Future 2.” While the ubiquity of flat-panel televisions, the return of 3-D movies, and multi-channel surfing capabilities may have all been played for laughs in that movie almost a quarter-century ago, all those technologies are part of our daily lives today.  Touchscreens are another type of technology was once relegated to the realm of sci-fi but is now commonplace. Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) first iPhone, launched in 2007, popularized touchscreens for mainstream consumers. Mobile devices and tablets have been the largest market for touchscreen interfaces, but there’s a growing trend to put them into laptops and desktop computers.  The touchscreen industry is expected to top $14 billion by 2016 with a… Read More

In any given year, you’ll come across “no-brainer” investments that are universally loved by the crowd. Trouble is, these stocks can be loved too much, and no matter how sales trends develop, some disappointment will be inevitable.#-ad_banner-# Indeed, one of the most popular stocks of the past few years has lost its way, buried under a set of unrealistic growth expectations. Yet, as shares bounce just above multi-year lows, contrarian investors finally see an opening. This “can’t miss” stock is Westport Innovations (Nasdaq: WPRT), which appeared set to dominate the burgeoning market for truck engines that can run on natural… Read More

In any given year, you’ll come across “no-brainer” investments that are universally loved by the crowd. Trouble is, these stocks can be loved too much, and no matter how sales trends develop, some disappointment will be inevitable.#-ad_banner-# Indeed, one of the most popular stocks of the past few years has lost its way, buried under a set of unrealistic growth expectations. Yet, as shares bounce just above multi-year lows, contrarian investors finally see an opening. This “can’t miss” stock is Westport Innovations (Nasdaq: WPRT), which appeared set to dominate the burgeoning market for truck engines that can run on natural gas. The appeal is evident. Natural gas is far cheaper than crude oil, and truckers could save thousands of dollars a year by moving away from pricey diesel fuel. Westport was also expected to benefit from legislation that provided huge subsidies for truckers to switch to natural gas. That legislation never arrived, and the company’s most bullish supporters had to concede that the loftiest sales forecasts simply couldn’t be met. As you can see in this chart, shares responded as you might expect. There are four key reasons for this stock’s slump. First, sales are expected to rise… Read More

The cost of energy production isn’t just about money. There are also environment effects.#-ad_banner-# Last year, according to one environmental group, hydraulic fracturing (commonly known as fracking) alone generated an estimated 280 billion gallons of toxic wastewater, enough to flood Washington, D.C., to a depth of 22 feet. It’s no wonder that there’s a strong push to institute cleaner practices. Green initiatives have come to dominate the corporate landscape and are attracting investment flows in record numbers. The performance in alternative energy this year is evidence of this growing trend — the iShares S&P Global Clean… Read More

The cost of energy production isn’t just about money. There are also environment effects.#-ad_banner-# Last year, according to one environmental group, hydraulic fracturing (commonly known as fracking) alone generated an estimated 280 billion gallons of toxic wastewater, enough to flood Washington, D.C., to a depth of 22 feet. It’s no wonder that there’s a strong push to institute cleaner practices. Green initiatives have come to dominate the corporate landscape and are attracting investment flows in record numbers. The performance in alternative energy this year is evidence of this growing trend — the iShares S&P Global Clean Energy Fund (Nasdaq: ICLN) is up more than 50% year to date. While most of the attention has been focused on renewable energy and clean coal, environmentally friendly sectors like pollution and treatment controls have gone relatively unnoticed. Calgon Carbon Corp. (NYSE: CCC) is a small-cap stock involved in the purification and treatment of water, air and food, as well as the poisonous emissions from coal-fired power plants. The company has been making tremendous strides in cost reduction, improving operating margins to around 20% from 13.6% just a year ago. (Calgon’s leaner operation is one reason the research staff at… Read More

When I was in elementary school, we called a student who got good grades, stayed out of trouble and embraced his or her position as teacher’s pet “Goody Two-shoes.” With that in mind, I’d like to introduce you to a company I like to consider the Goody Two-shoes of insurance companies. It takes few risks, performs admirably and is well liked by some of the most upstanding clients around. Founded in 1945 by two Illinois schoolteachers, Horace Mann Educators (NYSE: HMN) is an $8.5 billion national multi-line insurance company. Just about every penny comes from public K-12 teachers, administrators and… Read More

When I was in elementary school, we called a student who got good grades, stayed out of trouble and embraced his or her position as teacher’s pet “Goody Two-shoes.” With that in mind, I’d like to introduce you to a company I like to consider the Goody Two-shoes of insurance companies. It takes few risks, performs admirably and is well liked by some of the most upstanding clients around. Founded in 1945 by two Illinois schoolteachers, Horace Mann Educators (NYSE: HMN) is an $8.5 billion national multi-line insurance company. Just about every penny comes from public K-12 teachers, administrators and their families in the U.S., a market expected to grow 14% by 2020. The auto, property and casualty segment represents 52% of Horace Mann’s business, with commission-generating annuities and life insurance accounting for 39% and 9%, respectively.#-ad_banner-# About 6 million teachers, administrators and support personnel worked in K-12 in the U.S. in 2012. Another 413,000 college students are planning to become teachers, and 1.2 million are retired. That’s a big, loyal, responsible, insurance-buying market that blesses Horace Mann with higher-than-average retention rates, a low rate of paid claims and steady growth of its annuity and life insurance products. The company… Read More

Once upon a time, using an American Express card could be nearly impossible. For some consumers, it may have felt like rejection to hear a cashier say, “Sorry, we don’t take American Express.” However, as an AmEx cardholder myself, I always looked at it as a compliment — as though I and other AmEx cardholders were a member of an exclusive club. However, that club isn’t as exclusive anymore. Yes, American Express (NYSE: AXP) remains the pinnacle of credit cards, signifying success, exclusivity and financial freedom. But while MasterCard (NSYE: MA) and Visa (NYSE: V) have seen their card portfolios… Read More

Once upon a time, using an American Express card could be nearly impossible. For some consumers, it may have felt like rejection to hear a cashier say, “Sorry, we don’t take American Express.” However, as an AmEx cardholder myself, I always looked at it as a compliment — as though I and other AmEx cardholders were a member of an exclusive club. However, that club isn’t as exclusive anymore. Yes, American Express (NYSE: AXP) remains the pinnacle of credit cards, signifying success, exclusivity and financial freedom. But while MasterCard (NSYE: MA) and Visa (NYSE: V) have seen their card portfolios shrink over the past couple of years as many consumers have cut up their cards, American Express has seen its portfolio grow. #-ad_banner-# The number of merchants and venues that accept American Express has grown exponentially over the past half-decade. While some cardholders might consider this a form of brand dilution, investors in AXP should consider it great news. American Express’ merchant fees have been on the decline, narrowing toward what MasterCard and Visa charge and allowing more businesses to accept AmEx. Merchants are becoming increasingly more open to accepting American Express, especially in light of the fact that AmEx… Read More

“There’s no shame in holding cash.” It’s a refrain you hear from many fund managers these days after witnessing the market grind ever higher. And no hedge fund manager has uttered that phrase more than Baupost Capital’s Seth Klarman. The legendary value investor has actually started returning money to clients, finding few real bargains in this market.#-ad_banner-# But when Klarman does spot an investment opportunity, he goes big. Lately, he’s been building sizable stakes in a pair of young companies that few would consider to be deep value plays. They are contrarian plays from a contrarian investor. Idenix: A Blockbuster… Read More

“There’s no shame in holding cash.” It’s a refrain you hear from many fund managers these days after witnessing the market grind ever higher. And no hedge fund manager has uttered that phrase more than Baupost Capital’s Seth Klarman. The legendary value investor has actually started returning money to clients, finding few real bargains in this market.#-ad_banner-# But when Klarman does spot an investment opportunity, he goes big. Lately, he’s been building sizable stakes in a pair of young companies that few would consider to be deep value plays. They are contrarian plays from a contrarian investor. Idenix: A Blockbuster Or A Blowup? An estimated 150 million people are infected with hepatitis C, making it one of the most widespread diseases in the world for which current treatments are considered to be inadequate. Though there are current treatments such as Interferon, a recent Wall Street Journal article noted that “a growing number of people infected with hepatitis C are putting off therapy, choosing instead to roll the dice and wait for a new generation of drugs to become available.” First out of the gate is Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD) and its sofosbuvir drug, which got… Read More

Having been born and raised outside of Pittsburgh, I know firsthand of the ravages of factory pollution. My grandfather told me stories about the streetlights coming on midday because of the amount of smog in the downtown area. Many of the region’s streams and rivers were void of life back in the 1960s due to industrial waste deliberately and inadvertently seeping into the waterways. Things have improved greatly since those dark days. I have fond memories of fishing local streams for pollution-resistant fish like carp and catfish. Those same streams had been void of life just a decade or so… Read More

Having been born and raised outside of Pittsburgh, I know firsthand of the ravages of factory pollution. My grandfather told me stories about the streetlights coming on midday because of the amount of smog in the downtown area. Many of the region’s streams and rivers were void of life back in the 1960s due to industrial waste deliberately and inadvertently seeping into the waterways. Things have improved greatly since those dark days. I have fond memories of fishing local streams for pollution-resistant fish like carp and catfish. Those same streams had been void of life just a decade or so prior. Today, many of these Pittsburgh streams hold healthy populations of clean water fish like smallmouth bass and trout. This is a great testament to the success of the U.S. environmental movement, as well as commercial firms dedicated to pollution reduction. Personally, I like it when the free market helps improve the environment. It’s a great feeling to be able to earn a profit by doing a good thing for the environment. The free market has spawned firms like Illinois-based Fuel-Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK), which specializes in pollution reduction technology. Not only do the company’s products help mitigate the negative effects… Read More

Any time a company exceeds or lags quarterly profit forecasts by a big margin, the resulting share price action is quite predictable. Indeed, the list of stocks making recent 52-week highs are dominated by companies that posted stellar third-quarter results.#-ad_banner-# But the market action doesn’t always play out that way. On occasion, a company will handily surpass consensus profit forecasts, analysts will boost their outlook for the next year, and yet the stock price falls in value. How do you explain such a disconnect? Perhaps some investors were looking for even greater upside than the company delivered. Or perhaps investors… Read More

Any time a company exceeds or lags quarterly profit forecasts by a big margin, the resulting share price action is quite predictable. Indeed, the list of stocks making recent 52-week highs are dominated by companies that posted stellar third-quarter results.#-ad_banner-# But the market action doesn’t always play out that way. On occasion, a company will handily surpass consensus profit forecasts, analysts will boost their outlook for the next year, and yet the stock price falls in value. How do you explain such a disconnect? Perhaps some investors were looking for even greater upside than the company delivered. Or perhaps investors have begun rotating out of the company’s industry, selling off all stocks in the group on an indiscriminate basis. Whatever the reason, a combination of surging profits and falling share prices is a nearly perfect setup. I reviewed several hundred stocks that topped third-quarter profit estimates by at least 20%. Predictably, the vast majority surged higher in response. But I was able to come across three dozen companies that fit the backdrop of “good earnings/bad share response.” From there, I tossed out any stocks in which analysts lowered their 2014 profit forecasts after the quarterly conference call. If a company… Read More

We’re told as children (and even as adults) that you can’t have your cake and eat it too. You can’t turn a hobby into a paying job, and if an activity is fun, there’s probably no money in it.  Good news: You can — and there is.#-ad_banner-# It’s true that the economy has changed our way of life over the past five years. We’re more conscious of saving and downsizing to match our spending habits. The proliferation of fuel-efficient automobiles has crossed into a market that was once thought purely recreational.  Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) and Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) are… Read More

We’re told as children (and even as adults) that you can’t have your cake and eat it too. You can’t turn a hobby into a paying job, and if an activity is fun, there’s probably no money in it.  Good news: You can — and there is.#-ad_banner-# It’s true that the economy has changed our way of life over the past five years. We’re more conscious of saving and downsizing to match our spending habits. The proliferation of fuel-efficient automobiles has crossed into a market that was once thought purely recreational.  Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) and Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) are up nearly 75% and 35%, respectively, as baby boomers take to America’s roads. Clearly, recreational vehicles are in full swing, but there’s yet another type of vehicle that hasn’t gotten the attention it deserves: all-terrain vehicles (ATVs).  This category includes snowmobiles, ATVs and utility task vehicles (UTVs). Sales of UTVs have exploded in the past year: The two leading UTV manufacturers have posted quarterly earnings growth of 217% and 185% year over year. Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII) has been the undisputed leader in UTV, ATV and snowmobile sales, while an upstart competitor has been taking market share away from its… Read More