Companies that have recently declared their first-ever dividend may be one of the best investing barometers in existence. At least that’s how Peter Hodson, a former hedge fund guru at Sprott Asset Management, feels. In fact, after more than 25 years in the investment management industry, he swears by it. There’s some logic to all this. A company doesn’t have to pay dividends, it chooses to. And if a company that has never made payments before suddenly decides to start, then it’s probably a profitable company whose underlying business fundamentals are strengthening. Read More
Companies that have recently declared their first-ever dividend may be one of the best investing barometers in existence. At least that’s how Peter Hodson, a former hedge fund guru at Sprott Asset Management, feels. In fact, after more than 25 years in the investment management industry, he swears by it. There’s some logic to all this. A company doesn’t have to pay dividends, it chooses to. And if a company that has never made payments before suddenly decides to start, then it’s probably a profitable company whose underlying business fundamentals are strengthening. No sensible management team will commit to millions in recurring obligations if the prospect of future cash generation looks iffy. That’s true with any dividend increase, but particularly the first one. Anybody can make their 50th or 60th monthly mortgage payment without much thought. It’s buying the house and committing to the first monthly payment that takes some number-crunching and forecasting. In much the same way, a company doesn’t enter into a new dividend without a confident outlook. Now, there are some skeptics… Read More