Active Trading

The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, gained nearly 30% this year. It was truly an incredible run. The last time we saw this sort of return was 2013, when the market ended the year up 29.6%. Here’s a bar chart of S&P 500 returns over the last 30 years so you can see how 2019 stacks up to past performances. However you look at it, this has been quite a year. But you might be surprised to learn that this wonderful year for the stock market has been “hated” by investors… You see, typically when we have… Read More

The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, gained nearly 30% this year. It was truly an incredible run. The last time we saw this sort of return was 2013, when the market ended the year up 29.6%. Here’s a bar chart of S&P 500 returns over the last 30 years so you can see how 2019 stacks up to past performances. However you look at it, this has been quite a year. But you might be surprised to learn that this wonderful year for the stock market has been “hated” by investors… You see, typically when we have a good month or year investors pour more money into the stock market. For instance, in 2017 stocks returned a superb 19%. Investors, not wanting to miss out on future returns, poured $54.2 billion into stocks in the first month of 2018. That’s the largest monthly inflow in years. The same holds true when the market is falling… You might recall that this time last year the S&P 500 was in freefall. It fell as much as 15% in the month of December alone. Investors were scared. They yanked $57.4 billion from equities during that last month of 2018. In… Read More

As you may be aware, there’s been a lot of political news recently. From the impeachment to the primary debates, we’ve had wall-to-wall coverage all over the TV networks.  And while the impact of politics on the markets is a little overstated, it is true that some of what happens will affect the market in one way or another.  As we enter 2020, get ready for the volume to be turned up all the way to eleven. But before the beginning of the long process — one that includes caucuses, primaries, conventions and billions of dollars in commercials — I… Read More

As you may be aware, there’s been a lot of political news recently. From the impeachment to the primary debates, we’ve had wall-to-wall coverage all over the TV networks.  And while the impact of politics on the markets is a little overstated, it is true that some of what happens will affect the market in one way or another.  As we enter 2020, get ready for the volume to be turned up all the way to eleven. But before the beginning of the long process — one that includes caucuses, primaries, conventions and billions of dollars in commercials — I wanted to look at how the stock market generally fares in election years. —Recommended Link— The 5G Revolution Is About To Explode This Ignored $5 Stock​  5G has the potential to add $3.5 trillion to the U.S. economy and turn more everyday investors into millionaires than any other technology in mankind’s history. A new report reveals how one bargain-basement $5 stock is positioned to decimate the 5G competition and turn a $5,000 stake into $117,385 inside of 12 months. But time’s running out… Click here for details. The chart below shows… Read More

What’s up in the stock market? Pretty much everything! Last week, large-cap stocks (S&P 500), mid-cap stocks (S&P 400), and small-cap stocks (S&P 600) all reached new 52-week highs. Breadth indicators for the index also reached new highs. In other words, we are experiencing a broad-based rally in the stock market. —Recommended Link— Snag This “5G Savior” For $5 A Share Up to $31 billion in new business… as much as $6.6 billion in patent royalties… and its biggest competitor banned in America… this 5G tech stock could be the opportunity of a lifetime. But… Read More

What’s up in the stock market? Pretty much everything! Last week, large-cap stocks (S&P 500), mid-cap stocks (S&P 400), and small-cap stocks (S&P 600) all reached new 52-week highs. Breadth indicators for the index also reached new highs. In other words, we are experiencing a broad-based rally in the stock market. —Recommended Link— Snag This “5G Savior” For $5 A Share Up to $31 billion in new business… as much as $6.6 billion in patent royalties… and its biggest competitor banned in America… this 5G tech stock could be the opportunity of a lifetime. But you’ll need to make your move quickly… as soon as word gets out, banks and hedge funds could run the price up 10, 20, or 50X. Click here for details. Momentum is also bullish for major market indexes. Weekly charts of the S&P indexes are shown below with stochastics at the bottom. In strong bull markets, stochastics tend to move to high levels and then stay there for extended periods of time. For all three indexes, the position of the stochastics indicator is consistent with that trend; they all also show… Read More

As many of you know, I’ve been expecting a pullback in the stock market. Two weeks ago, I noted, “The chart indicates a 2.5% pullback is likely before we see the market rally sharply into the end of the year.” The chart of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA) is shown below with important support levels. On the bottom of the chart, I’ve tracked my Profit Amplifier Momentum (PAM) indicator. The pullback, from high to low over the past two weeks, was 2.9%. —Recommended Link— Most Traders Do THIS Wrong (Hint: They’re… Read More

As many of you know, I’ve been expecting a pullback in the stock market. Two weeks ago, I noted, “The chart indicates a 2.5% pullback is likely before we see the market rally sharply into the end of the year.” The chart of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA) is shown below with important support levels. On the bottom of the chart, I’ve tracked my Profit Amplifier Momentum (PAM) indicator. The pullback, from high to low over the past two weeks, was 2.9%. —Recommended Link— Most Traders Do THIS Wrong (Hint: They’re paying Wall Street instead of letting Wall Street pay them!) They’re screwing it up… and they’re missing out on the chance to make easy profits every single week without a ton of risk.  Are you falling victim to this pitfall? Click here to find out.​ As you can see from the bars in the bottom segment, PAM is already showing signs of bottoming. That signal tells me that our pullback — while short — is likely already over. Now, there could still be additional weakness in the first… Read More

As we get ready to wrap up 2019, J.P. Morgan has released a note warning investors to expect low returns in the bond market next year. After 10 years of low rates, this isn’t really a surprise. But it comes after a good year for bonds… and it comes as investors face important decisions about their portfolios. I think all of this could end up being bullish for the stock market. Here’s why… —Recommended Link— Republican Senators Could Put $154,435 In Your Pocket This Year One neglected pot biotech stock could go ballistic the moment… Read More

As we get ready to wrap up 2019, J.P. Morgan has released a note warning investors to expect low returns in the bond market next year. After 10 years of low rates, this isn’t really a surprise. But it comes after a good year for bonds… and it comes as investors face important decisions about their portfolios. I think all of this could end up being bullish for the stock market. Here’s why… —Recommended Link— Republican Senators Could Put $154,435 In Your Pocket This Year One neglected pot biotech stock could go ballistic the moment the Senate passes this historic act. A landslide victory in the House all but guarantees a Senate win. Investors who take action before the vote could lock in gains of up to 6,077%. This is not a wait-and-see opportunity.” Click here for details. Going into the end of the year, long-term Treasuries have delivered a total return of 8%. That’s the best return since 2011, when bonds gained a total of 9.8%. Both years are highlighted in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) chart below, which shows total returns (gains from both interest payments… Read More

Earnings season for the third quarter is almost done. It looks like the companies in the S&P 500 will report earnings per share that are 2.2% lower than they were a year ago. It will be the third straight quarter of year-over-year declines. This is a concern for two reasons. —Recommended Link— I couldn’t believe it when I saw the trading stats…​ 42 winning trades this year. Zero losing trades. ZERO. 94% winning average over the past decade. Easy gains of 42%… 30%… and 127%, all in the past month… Regular payouts of $2,450… $2,070…… Read More

Earnings season for the third quarter is almost done. It looks like the companies in the S&P 500 will report earnings per share that are 2.2% lower than they were a year ago. It will be the third straight quarter of year-over-year declines. This is a concern for two reasons. —Recommended Link— I couldn’t believe it when I saw the trading stats…​ 42 winning trades this year. Zero losing trades. ZERO. 94% winning average over the past decade. Easy gains of 42%… 30%… and 127%, all in the past month… Regular payouts of $2,450… $2,070… $1,550… and $2,950… This proprietary “I.V.L. trading system” is spitting out winners at a shocking clip. And it just pinpointed the next opportunity. Click here now to start racking up winners.. First is the fact that companies often make adjustments to earnings. This is called non-GAAP earnings, and it excludes one-time factors and special charges the company’s management thinks will distort the true picture of operations. GAAP, or generally accepted accounting procedures, defines how earnings are calculated. A company’s management will often argue that some charges, like corporate restructuring or layoffs, artificially depress earnings. To help investors… Read More

Recently, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time in a row. After the meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell held a press conference. I found his comments particularly interesting this time around. Here’s why… —Recommended Link— Generate $1 Million in Retirement Income — Guaranteed​​ Acclaimed income expert Amber Hestla is hosting a masterclass that reveals the simple way to generate up to $1,155 (or more) in instant income. Week in. And week out. We’re so sure you can use his program to become an income millionaire, we’ll pay you $1,000 to get you started. Read More

Recently, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time in a row. After the meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell held a press conference. I found his comments particularly interesting this time around. Here’s why… —Recommended Link— Generate $1 Million in Retirement Income — Guaranteed​​ Acclaimed income expert Amber Hestla is hosting a masterclass that reveals the simple way to generate up to $1,155 (or more) in instant income. Week in. And week out. We’re so sure you can use his program to become an income millionaire, we’ll pay you $1,000 to get you started. Sign up here for free. In a nutshell, Powell said he is confident that Fed policy is helping the economy. He admits that the global economy is slowing but notes that the United States is different than the European Union or Japan. Because we are different, Powell is confident we won’t experience the problems those regions have seen. He’s pleased to see the initial “phase one” trade deal between the U.S. and China. Combined with indications that the U.K. might be able to pull off its divorce with the EU, it means risks aren’t as dire… Read More

With major stock market indexes at new all-time highs, it’s obvious to many analysts that we are in a bull market. The question, of course, is how much longer can it last. To examine this, I’m including a chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) that shows the new high. I also included the stochastics indicator at the bottom of the chart. Stochastics is a popular momentum indicator that is widely followed. I don’t believe that it works well as a timing tool, but the indicator does have an important characteristic. Let’s take a look… —Recommended Link—… Read More

With major stock market indexes at new all-time highs, it’s obvious to many analysts that we are in a bull market. The question, of course, is how much longer can it last. To examine this, I’m including a chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) that shows the new high. I also included the stochastics indicator at the bottom of the chart. Stochastics is a popular momentum indicator that is widely followed. I don’t believe that it works well as a timing tool, but the indicator does have an important characteristic. Let’s take a look… —Recommended Link— America’s 5G Rollout Is In Jeopardy… This $5 Stock Could Save It The U.S. will lose the 5G race, $3.5 trillion in revenue, and 22 million jobs… unless we can solve a devastating technical problem. Luckily, one overlooked company has a solution that can put us back on the map. You could add $234,770 to your bank account this year… but only if you make your move quickly. Banks and hedge funds are starting to gobble up these $5 shares. Click here to stake your claim. In a… Read More

And just like that, the S&P 500 is back to hitting new all-time highs. This is happening thanks in large part to an accommodative Federal Reserve, who for the third time this year cut interest rates by 25 basis points on October 30. The benchmark federal funds rate now sits at 1.5% to 1.75%. #-ad_banner-#Also helping is the fact that the trade war with China has simmered. In fact, it looks like we may get a Phase 1 agreement soon. (Although I wouldn’t hold my breath. This is far from over.) And finally, third-quarter earnings have been better than expected… Read More

And just like that, the S&P 500 is back to hitting new all-time highs. This is happening thanks in large part to an accommodative Federal Reserve, who for the third time this year cut interest rates by 25 basis points on October 30. The benchmark federal funds rate now sits at 1.5% to 1.75%. #-ad_banner-#Also helping is the fact that the trade war with China has simmered. In fact, it looks like we may get a Phase 1 agreement soon. (Although I wouldn’t hold my breath. This is far from over.) And finally, third-quarter earnings have been better than expected — granted the bar was set pretty low. Going into earnings season, analysts believed that earnings for companies in the S&P 500 were set to decline 4% compared to the same period a year ago. It would have marked the first time the index reported three straight quarters of year-over-year earnings decline since Q4 2015 through Q2 2016. With more than 71% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting actual results, 76% have reported a positive earnings surprise. As it sits now, the earnings decline is -2.7%. That’s not only better than the -4% that was expected, but it’s… Read More

We all have to-do lists that grow longer every day. Many of us look at what needs to be done right now, and we deal with things as they become urgent. You could say we have a short-term focus. For example, as I look out the window, I see tumbleweed piled up against the fence. The wind blows it into the fence, and, in a perfect world, I’d get out there and throw it to the other side so the wind could blow it to Nebraska or wherever tumbleweed goes. If I don’t do that, it weakens the fence, and… Read More

We all have to-do lists that grow longer every day. Many of us look at what needs to be done right now, and we deal with things as they become urgent. You could say we have a short-term focus. For example, as I look out the window, I see tumbleweed piled up against the fence. The wind blows it into the fence, and, in a perfect world, I’d get out there and throw it to the other side so the wind could blow it to Nebraska or wherever tumbleweed goes. If I don’t do that, it weakens the fence, and eventually the fence will need to be repaired. But the dishwasher also needs to be emptied, and a load of laundry needs to be folded, and three more loads need to be done, and… Well, let’s just say the fence isn’t urgent, and I am doing urgent chores around the house today. That fence will hold out for years. Investors — even those who claim to be long-term investors — can often adopt a short-term focus. Even while saying they believe that stocks always deliver gains in the long run, they focus on today’s price changes and they look at… Read More