Tariffs and the trade war are still in the news. But they will be for some time. The uncertainty of trade is now the new normal.  That’s important because uncertainty is often associated with market declines. However, when uncertainty becomes certain, as it is now, traders tend to look past that news.  So, trade will be in the headlines for some time. Those headlines could lead to occasional blips in the market action, but it no longer seems likely that a trade war will be the catalyst for a bear market.  I know that sounds a little confusing. And I… Read More

Tariffs and the trade war are still in the news. But they will be for some time. The uncertainty of trade is now the new normal.  That’s important because uncertainty is often associated with market declines. However, when uncertainty becomes certain, as it is now, traders tend to look past that news.  So, trade will be in the headlines for some time. Those headlines could lead to occasional blips in the market action, but it no longer seems likely that a trade war will be the catalyst for a bear market.  I know that sounds a little confusing. And I know I often turn to parenting analogies to understand the market. I hope you’ll indulge me with another one…  —Recommended Link— Professional Investor Reveals Shocking New Pot Opportunity If you’ve ever thought about investing in a penny pot stock. don’t! I’ve discovered a unique marijuana profit-sharing plan backed by a U.S. Federal Law. And it’s paying a small group of regular people up to $55,563 a year. The next check run is just days away. I’ll show you how to sign up here. First children are the most stressful. Every time the… Read More

The Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut set off another round of reports noting that interest rates are at 5,000-year lows.  Sound crazy? Well take a look at the chart below, which shows the history of rates…  …since 3000 BC.  This is interesting. It shows the highs and lows of world history. In times of global stress, rates generally rose. For example, governments often needed to pay higher interest rates to borrow during wars. The chart below shows the rate the Bank of England paid in the late 1700s.  ​  Source: Bank of England  Rates… Read More

The Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut set off another round of reports noting that interest rates are at 5,000-year lows.  Sound crazy? Well take a look at the chart below, which shows the history of rates…  …since 3000 BC.  This is interesting. It shows the highs and lows of world history. In times of global stress, rates generally rose. For example, governments often needed to pay higher interest rates to borrow during wars. The chart below shows the rate the Bank of England paid in the late 1700s.  ​  Source: Bank of England  Rates rose after 1776, as England needed more funds to finance their role in the American Revolution. Rates came down after the war and rose again to fund the Napoleonic Wars in the early 1800s.  This pattern held into the 1900s. Even as the worst conflict in world history raged, interest rates were at historic lows in the 1940s. That’s because the central banks like the Fed worked with governments to hold rates down, making it possible to finance World War II.  The power of central banks has ebbed and flowed over the centuries. For now, the banks seem to be… Read More

This week’s analysis of the market seems to come down to one chart.  It’s a one-minute chart of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA). This chart shows the minute-by-minute record of Friday’s market action.  As you’ll see clearly below, there’s only one factor that caused the big selloff on Friday morning – a tweet from President Trump asking whether Federal Reserve Chairman or China Chairman Xi Jinping is the bigger enemy.  In short, this marks a significant point in the market.  —Recommended Link— SECRET: Add $8,760 Extra to Any Retirement Account Finally… Read More

This week’s analysis of the market seems to come down to one chart.  It’s a one-minute chart of the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE: DIA). This chart shows the minute-by-minute record of Friday’s market action.  As you’ll see clearly below, there’s only one factor that caused the big selloff on Friday morning – a tweet from President Trump asking whether Federal Reserve Chairman or China Chairman Xi Jinping is the bigger enemy.  In short, this marks a significant point in the market.  —Recommended Link— SECRET: Add $8,760 Extra to Any Retirement Account Finally revealed! This “long lost” secret turns a quick 3-minute phone call into the opportunity to collect $8,760 checks. Every payment is backed by the full authority of the U.S. Government… and over $1.75 billion will be delivered to income-seeking Americans. But your action is required TODAY while the enrollment window is open. You must click here right now to get started. By themselves, Trump tweets can’t determine the direction of the trend in the stock market. Yet, it’s entirely possible we will look back in a few months and consider this to be the… Read More

I’ve been fielding a lot of phone calls lately from friends and family members. And they are scared… #-ad_banner-#Some have asked whether they should sell their house now, before a recession hits. Others are wondering if they should postpone their house purchase. And, of course, they are all worried about their retirement accounts. The fear is not limited to my circle of acquaintances. A lot of folks are downright spooked. Whether it’s the trade war, the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates, President Trump’s tweets, or headlines about the dreaded yield curve, there’s a lot of tension and uncertainty… Read More

I’ve been fielding a lot of phone calls lately from friends and family members. And they are scared… #-ad_banner-#Some have asked whether they should sell their house now, before a recession hits. Others are wondering if they should postpone their house purchase. And, of course, they are all worried about their retirement accounts. The fear is not limited to my circle of acquaintances. A lot of folks are downright spooked. Whether it’s the trade war, the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates, President Trump’s tweets, or headlines about the dreaded yield curve, there’s a lot of tension and uncertainty surrounding the market and the economy. But I don’t share these feelings. I still see plenty of opportunity in the market. To be sure, I’m not saying that “this time is different” — the four most dangerous words in investing — as we are closer to the end than the beginning of the economic expansion. And the inversion of the yield curve has been one of the most historically reliable indicators of a recession. I’m just not sure we will witness the sort of recession that most people are fearing — a 2008-like financial crisis — and I believe that… Read More

If you follow financial markets, you almost certainly heard the news that the yield curve inverted. That news sparked a steep selloff in the stock market.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 800 points. That was the fourth largest one-day decline in history.  Now, let’s look at the news rationally.  —Recommended Link— This Wyoming rancher can put $565 in your pocket each week From my ranch, I send out an email every Friday to 1,065 regular men and women… and before the day is out, they pocket $565 in cash. The following Friday, they do… Read More

If you follow financial markets, you almost certainly heard the news that the yield curve inverted. That news sparked a steep selloff in the stock market.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 800 points. That was the fourth largest one-day decline in history.  Now, let’s look at the news rationally.  —Recommended Link— This Wyoming rancher can put $565 in your pocket each week From my ranch, I send out an email every Friday to 1,065 regular men and women… and before the day is out, they pocket $565 in cash. The following Friday, they do it again… and collect another $565. Of course, that’s just an average, but over time it works out to exactly $565.25. We’ve done it 219 times so far. ​​Join us for the next one here. In percentage terms, that 800-point decline was the 342nd biggest one-day drop. With the index above 25,000, the Dow fell 3.05% on Wednesday. That’s still bad, but it’s not as bad as it sounds when we hear it’s the fourth worst one-day loss in history.  The yield curve inversion also isn’t as bad it sounds.  The yield curve is a graph… Read More

Last week, stocks sold off and the week ended with a popular indicator showing a “sell” signal.  To understand, let’s look at a simple chart.  —Recommended Link— Life-and-death investing. At the office, we call them “essential-service” stocks. Because people don’t just want what they sell, they need it. Nobody is going to go without air conditioning in Arizona. It can be a matter of life and death. And try spending a winter in North Dakota with no heat. Forget it. So the companies that make these places livable have and extreme advantage over other businesses. Read More

Last week, stocks sold off and the week ended with a popular indicator showing a “sell” signal.  To understand, let’s look at a simple chart.  —Recommended Link— Life-and-death investing. At the office, we call them “essential-service” stocks. Because people don’t just want what they sell, they need it. Nobody is going to go without air conditioning in Arizona. It can be a matter of life and death. And try spending a winter in North Dakota with no heat. Forget it. So the companies that make these places livable have and extreme advantage over other businesses. ​​ Which is great news for us, because we’ve got a bunch of these stocks that are up 561% each. This is the kind of chart many market analysts ignore because it just seems too simple. The indicator at the bottom of the chart won’t be enough to beat the market, but it does help reduce risk.  The indicator at the bottom of the chart is the popular MACD indicator. And as I just mentioned, it’s on a “sell” signal right now.  In the past 10 years, owning the S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) only when… Read More

Today, I want to start by looking at some basic facts:  1. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates.  2. The Fed’s mandate is to “promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”  Given those two simple facts, logic tells us that the Fed must have cut rates because unemployment is rising, prices are rising too rapidly, or long-term rates are deterring investment and capital purchases.  But that’s not why the Fed cut…  —Recommended Link— Professional Investor Reveals Shocking New Pot Opportunity If you’ve ever thought about investing in… Read More

Today, I want to start by looking at some basic facts:  1. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates.  2. The Fed’s mandate is to “promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”  Given those two simple facts, logic tells us that the Fed must have cut rates because unemployment is rising, prices are rising too rapidly, or long-term rates are deterring investment and capital purchases.  But that’s not why the Fed cut…  —Recommended Link— Professional Investor Reveals Shocking New Pot Opportunity If you’ve ever thought about investing in a penny pot stock. don’t! I’ve discovered a unique marijuana profit-sharing plan backed by a U.S. Federal Law. And it’s paying a small group of regular people up to $55,563 a year. The next check run is just days away. ​​I’ll show you how to sign up here. According to Chairman Jerome Powell, the Fed cut to insure against downside risks from weak global growth; offset risks of trade policy uncertainty; and to promote a faster return of inflation to a symmetric 2% objective.  Weak global growth and policy uncertainty are related. That refers to the… Read More

I’d like to start off today’s issue by asking you a simple question… If you discovered the key to making a fortune trading stocks, would you share it with the world? —Recommended Link— SECRET: Add $8,760 Extra to Any Retirement Account Finally revealed! This “long lost” secret turns a quick 3-minute phone call into the opportunity to collect $8,760 checks. Every payment is backed by the full authority of the U.S. Government… and over $1.75 billion will be delivered to income-seeking Americans. But your action is required TODAY while the enrollment window is open. Read More

I’d like to start off today’s issue by asking you a simple question… If you discovered the key to making a fortune trading stocks, would you share it with the world? —Recommended Link— SECRET: Add $8,760 Extra to Any Retirement Account Finally revealed! This “long lost” secret turns a quick 3-minute phone call into the opportunity to collect $8,760 checks. Every payment is backed by the full authority of the U.S. Government… and over $1.75 billion will be delivered to income-seeking Americans. But your action is required TODAY while the enrollment window is open. You must click here right now to get started. If history is any guide, you’d be a fool if you did. That’s because studies have shown the more well-known a market-beating strategy becomes, the less it becomes a market-beating strategy. Makes sense, doesn’t it? Why So-Called Market “Edges” Soon Disappear Back in 1981, an academic named Rolf Banz published a paper on something called the “small-firm effect.” It showed that buying small-cap stocks generated “abnormal returns,” even when adjusted for risk. At around the same time, researchers uncovered the “value effect,” which showed that buying stocks… Read More

I have three young boys running around in the yard right now. They seem to be playing “Calvinball.” That’s a game from the old “Calvin & Hobbes” comic strip.  Now, if you’ve never played Calvinball, the rules are confusing. It’s a game that you never play the same way twice. Anyone can add a rule, and any player can change the rules at any time, even if no one else agrees with the change.  Calvinball is what I call it when the boys are just running around and getting along. It’s simply a few moments of peaceful chaos.  Now that… Read More

I have three young boys running around in the yard right now. They seem to be playing “Calvinball.” That’s a game from the old “Calvin & Hobbes” comic strip.  Now, if you’ve never played Calvinball, the rules are confusing. It’s a game that you never play the same way twice. Anyone can add a rule, and any player can change the rules at any time, even if no one else agrees with the change.  Calvinball is what I call it when the boys are just running around and getting along. It’s simply a few moments of peaceful chaos.  Now that you know I’m a fan of Calvinball, you might understand why I’m so excited about the chart below. It’s a chaotic picture, but it offers investors important information.  —Recommended Link— BOMBSHELL: America’s Favorite New “Paychecks” You need to see this to believe it. CLICK HERE to see how a 3-minute phone call could hand you the opportunity to collect checks worth up to $225,326. And best of all, this program is backed by the full force and authority of the United States government… Click here to see all the details. Let… Read More

The S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average are at all-time highs. The same is true for the NASDAQ 100 Index and many other market averages. But some important averages remain well below their all-time highs.  Small-cap and mid-cap stocks are well below their all-time highs. For example, if we take a look at the S&P 600 – a small-cap benchmark index – we see it ended last week more than 13% below its August 2018 high.  —Recommended Link— Secret “Paycheck Program” Just Discovered…  It’s delivering up to 30 checks each year… Checks for… Read More

The S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average are at all-time highs. The same is true for the NASDAQ 100 Index and many other market averages. But some important averages remain well below their all-time highs.  Small-cap and mid-cap stocks are well below their all-time highs. For example, if we take a look at the S&P 600 – a small-cap benchmark index – we see it ended last week more than 13% below its August 2018 high.  —Recommended Link— Secret “Paycheck Program” Just Discovered…  It’s delivering up to 30 checks each year… Checks for $29,799… $62,046… and even up to $225,326 are being raked in using this program. If you’re looking for reliable cash, you need to act right now. This is instantly valuable, so don’t miss out.  Click here for the “Paycheck Program” details. The mid-cap S&P 400 (below) is almost 5% below its August high.  These indexes demonstrate that the strength in this year’s stock market rally has been driven by large-cap stocks. That can easily be explained by the “TINA” thesis; in fact, pension fund managers and other institutional investors have been citing TINA as… Read More