Whatever deal gets struck to resolve the imminent “fiscal cliff,” the U.S. budget mess will be far from fixed. There will still be a yawning gap between government revenue and government spending, let alone the fact that we still have an existing $16 trillion debt load we need to start whittling down. One of the most vulnerable arms of the federal government will be the Department of Defense (DoD). Our current military is so large — more than… Read More
Whatever deal gets struck to resolve the imminent “fiscal cliff,” the U.S. budget mess will be far from fixed. There will still be a yawning gap between government revenue and government spending, let alone the fact that we still have an existing $16 trillion debt load we need to start whittling down. One of the most vulnerable arms of the federal government will be the Department of Defense (DoD). Our current military is so large — more than 10 times bigger than its nearest rival — that a bit of shrinkage seems inevitable. Nobody is calling for plans to gut our nation’s military in an extreme fashion, but a DoD that is 5% or 10% smaller than current levels seems increasingly inevitable. And that spells top-line weakness for many defense contractors. A wide range of multibillion contracts with firms such as Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) are coming under tighter scrutiny, as the DoD seeks ways to find less-expensive solutions to fielding a more nimble military. Out with the bath water Simply being… Read More