“Beat and Raise.” The pattern of beating estimates and raising forward guidance has been the key theme in each earnings season of the past two years. This time will be different. The “beat” part will likely hold as companies and the analysts that follow them continue to play the game of low expectations that then get exceeded. The “raise” part? That just got much trickier. Companies raise guidance when they have a lot of certainty about what the coming months will bring. Right now, few can say with certainty about how… Read More

“Beat and Raise.” The pattern of beating estimates and raising forward guidance has been the key theme in each earnings season of the past two years. This time will be different. The “beat” part will likely hold as companies and the analysts that follow them continue to play the game of low expectations that then get exceeded. The “raise” part? That just got much trickier. Companies raise guidance when they have a lot of certainty about what the coming months will bring. Right now, few can say with certainty about how the wide range of domestic and global events will play out. Here’s a checklist of the issues these companies face. Later on, I’ll look at the potential impact on specific sectors.   Oil prices bring caution. Expect a number of companies, especially those that are focused on consumers or have high transportation costs, to express real concern about surging oil. Stressed consumers are in no mood to help shoulder the burden. For example, airlines had successfully pushed through six fare hikes since the start of the year. On the seventh try, consumers appear to have balked and airlines had… Read More

New income investors sometimes make the mistake of looking no further than a stock’s current dividend yield. After all, a stock such as biotech firm PDL BioPharma (NASDAQ: PDL) looks mighty enticing, based on its 10% yield. But looks can be misleading. A closer look at PDL reveals a dividend that may be in trouble. The company’s net income fell by more than 50% last year, and PDL paid out more in dividends than it earned as income. The company earned $92 million, but paid $130 million in… Read More

New income investors sometimes make the mistake of looking no further than a stock’s current dividend yield. After all, a stock such as biotech firm PDL BioPharma (NASDAQ: PDL) looks mighty enticing, based on its 10% yield. But looks can be misleading. A closer look at PDL reveals a dividend that may be in trouble. The company’s net income fell by more than 50% last year, and PDL paid out more in dividends than it earned as income. The company earned $92 million, but paid $130 million in dividends. When earnings decline sharply, even blue-chip companies can sometimes find their dividends in danger. A good example is General Electric (NYSE: GE), which was forced to trim its dividend by two-thirds during the economic downturn. Quarterly payments dropped from $0.31 to just $0.10. [See: “Forget GE, Buy These Stocks Instead”] Another high-profile casualty of the downturn was oil refiner Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO). Valero cut its quarterly dividend from $0.15 to $0.05, which is where the dividend remains today. So how do you protect yourself… Read More

Many investors tend to focus on how a stock will fare in coming weeks and months. Company executives have a very different task. They need to stay focused on a much bigger picture, building a business that can grow for years to come. If investors push a stock down due to near-term issues, then executives have a clear move to make: Buy company shares while they’re not fully appreciated. Here are two stocks that have been pursued by insiders in recent weeks. Later on, I’ll give my take on whether or not they are compelling “buys”… Read More

Many investors tend to focus on how a stock will fare in coming weeks and months. Company executives have a very different task. They need to stay focused on a much bigger picture, building a business that can grow for years to come. If investors push a stock down due to near-term issues, then executives have a clear move to make: Buy company shares while they’re not fully appreciated. Here are two stocks that have been pursued by insiders in recent weeks. Later on, I’ll give my take on whether or not they are compelling “buys” right now… Rentrak (Nasdaq: RENT) When information and media-measuring firm Nielsen Holdings (Nasdaq: NLSN) pulled off an initial public offering (IPO) in January, many institutional investors gave the $10 billion (in market value) company a fresh look. But they may be wiser to give industry upstart Rentrak their attention instead. This $300 million company is slowly stealing business away from Nielsen and some analysts think the company can be an earnings powerhouse in a few years. If you came… Read More

Did you know the United States withholds a portion of dividends paid to many foreign investors? This amount comes right off the top, before the payment even hits an investor’s account. Even after this cut, the foreign investor will still have to pay taxes on what’s left. But the United States isn’t just being greedy. Just about every nation does something similar. Switzerland withholds up to 35% of dividends paid to foreign investors… Israel withholds up to 25%… Canada takes 15% off the… Read More

Did you know the United States withholds a portion of dividends paid to many foreign investors? This amount comes right off the top, before the payment even hits an investor’s account. Even after this cut, the foreign investor will still have to pay taxes on what’s left. But the United States isn’t just being greedy. Just about every nation does something similar. Switzerland withholds up to 35% of dividends paid to foreign investors… Israel withholds up to 25%… Canada takes 15% off the top. Typically the higher yields found abroad can make up the difference. For instance, the high yields on foreign utilities can still make them worthwhile to most investors, even with the withholding. And truth be told, you can get this withheld money back. Investors filing for a foreign tax credit via IRS Form 1116 can reclaim foreign dividends withheld. But you won’t receive this cash until you file your tax return, sometimes up to a year after the… Read More

#-ad_banner-# I think it’s the most boring business I’ve ever researched. That’s what you want if you’re looking for a stock to hold no matter what. It pays dividends like clockwork. They’ve increased for 39 years straight — that goes back to when Nixon was in office. Read More

[Editor’s Note: On Wednesday, Andy Obermueller, editor of Game-Changing Stocks, gave his take on the resignation of David Sokol, one of the frontrunners to replace Warren Buffett at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway. Now, it looks like Ajit Jain, Buffett’s insurance man extrordinaire, may be “the man.” Funny enough, StreetAuthority’s… Read More

I counted twice, just to be sure… $41,161.63. That’s the amount in “daily paychecks” — more commonly known as dividends — I received from my investment portfolio in 2010. That total comes to $112.77 for each day of the year. Cash. Read More

After a pair of stopgap funding measures, Washington is getting ready to play hardball on the government budget. Both sides have drawn clear lines in the sand, and April 8 looms as the day when government buildings could be officially locked, government employees told to stay home and all non-essential services could grind to a halt. Whether the shutdown lasts a few days or a few weeks, your portfolio will feel the impact. And you need to start preparing now…   Too many uncertainties Investors crave certainty. Yet this is an especially murky time. Key questions need… Read More

After a pair of stopgap funding measures, Washington is getting ready to play hardball on the government budget. Both sides have drawn clear lines in the sand, and April 8 looms as the day when government buildings could be officially locked, government employees told to stay home and all non-essential services could grind to a halt. Whether the shutdown lasts a few days or a few weeks, your portfolio will feel the impact. And you need to start preparing now…   Too many uncertainties Investors crave certainty. Yet this is an especially murky time. Key questions need to be asked. Will Japan’s economy go into recession as its government tackles the economic effect of the current crisis? How will the Middle East play out (and what will happen to oil prices)? Will more European economies need a bailout? How will the U.S. markets handle the end of the Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing (QE2)? [I also wrote earlier about how investors’ record levels of borrowing on margin could bring the market crashing down…] The market has climbed a “wall of worry” in recent quarters, but the wall keeps getting… Read More

It’s going to touch everything. It will make a difference in what we eat, where we travel, how we heat and cool our homes, even how much we save and spend. Actually, these sorts of changes are already taking place. But over the next… Read More

Think of the economic cycle as a wheel…     This image roughly captures the whole cycle, highlighting the various stages of economic growth and contraction. Right now, we’re just past “9 o’clock” on the wheel, as commodity prices have been steadily rising (although with some recent profit-taking). We’re surely done with the “8 o’clock” phase, where we saw stocks post a remarkable two-year rally after a sudden plunge. If the current cycle plays out as it has in the past, then more stock gains lie ahead, but perhaps in a more limited… Read More

Think of the economic cycle as a wheel…     This image roughly captures the whole cycle, highlighting the various stages of economic growth and contraction. Right now, we’re just past “9 o’clock” on the wheel, as commodity prices have been steadily rising (although with some recent profit-taking). We’re surely done with the “8 o’clock” phase, where we saw stocks post a remarkable two-year rally after a sudden plunge. If the current cycle plays out as it has in the past, then more stock gains lie ahead, but perhaps in a more limited fashion than some realize. We may be looking at an extended period of economic expansion in coming years, but stocks prices always look ahead and have already anticipated some of that expansion. [For more on how sector rotation can lead you to the right stocks to profit, go here.] The economy has started to sputter back to life, as seen by rising employment figures and positive quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) reports. We’re just about at “9 o’clock,” or “general recovery.” When monthly employment trends really start to… Read More